Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.701209 1.961810 2.243128 2.568659 2.934221 3.331291 3.794436
2024-10-27 1.306227 1.669099 2.095329 2.629567 3.277614 4.034398 4.980861
2024-11-03 1.029952 1.442950 1.965655 2.667620 3.576403 4.703082 6.193978
2024-11-10 0.823064 1.254097 1.837547 2.670252 3.810704 5.298215 7.361582
2024-11-17 0.658349 1.085136 1.699865 2.627025 3.962177 5.782944 8.413717
2024-11-24 0.531076 0.942970 1.571754 2.569522 4.073111 6.206711 9.402340
2024-12-01 0.449021 0.853423 1.504089 2.584353 4.278470 6.766692 10.610174
2024-12-08 0.376799 0.765384 1.423183 2.563373 4.419767 7.235073 11.709052
2024-12-15 0.333266 0.718604 1.401041 2.629507 4.695693 7.916479 13.160023
2024-12-22 0.287922 0.659577 1.348315 2.635485 4.870537 8.448876 14.411900
2024-12-29 0.264904 0.639542 1.361375 2.754026 5.237909 9.304167 16.212269
2025-01-05 0.241694 0.614667 1.361326 2.847175 5.566626 10.114376 17.983533
2025-01-12 0.207072 0.560102 1.299308 2.824156 5.699113 10.625186 19.328094
2025-01-19 0.185203 0.530122 1.282443 2.885301 5.988299 11.420452 21.194212
2025-01-26 0.164187 0.497806 1.256023 2.924278 6.239281 12.165920 23.020676
2025-02-02 0.143199 0.460878 1.214001 2.926119 6.418847 12.795859 24.683642
2025-02-09 0.121964 0.418202 1.152328 2.878885 6.497571 13.247896 26.059327
2025-02-16 0.103073 0.377159 1.087632 2.816445 6.538503 13.630224 27.328424
2025-02-23 0.091085 0.353200 1.060170 2.832411 6.737769 14.315483 29.174348
2025-03-02 0.078881 0.325288 1.018179 2.809661 6.853195 14.846668 30.762917
2025-03-09 0.072288 0.313829 1.016867 2.881222 7.172081 15.783315 33.142497
2025-03-16 0.063909 0.293983 0.989882 2.887683 7.349923 16.453553 35.052939
2025-03-23 0.060684 0.291792 1.011486 3.015928 7.804804 17.694966 38.102819